How odds are calculated
Grounded in published results, not guesswork
For many calls, the Commission publishes how many proposals were submitted and how many were funded. We combine that with the call's budget and with the projects that won before.
The result is a starting estimate: your chances before the evaluators read a single word. The quality of your proposal still decides the outcome, and we say so on every result.
Read the full method →
Behind one estimateIllustrative
Past rounds of this topic 3
Proposals submitted (avg) 142
Proposals funded (avg) 19
Base rate 13.4%
This round
Indicative budget €60M
Typical grant size €4–5M
Expected grants ~13
Fit vs. past winners above average
Your estimate 11–17%